FED interest rate policy: Cuts or Hikes?
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 57% chance — more likely than not.
Prediction-market odds are usually well-calibrated — historically, outcomes priced near 70% happen about 70% of the time — but the crowd can still be wrong, and the price can lag the news.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 57% right now.
Summary
This market is a perpetual sentiment indicator for the direction of Federal Reserve interest rates, with current odds favoring a cut at 57% over a hike at 43%. It will never resolve based on actual Fed decisions, functioning solely as a collective opinion gauge. The market remains open indefinitely unless canceled by platform changes.
How it resolves
Resolved on-chain per the rules written into each market (stablecoin-settled). On-chain settlement is transparent but, like any market, only as good as the rules it was written with.
Resolution criteria
**This market is a collective indicator of sentiment regarding the trajectory of the FED interest rate policy. This market is trading only and will never be resolved towards either option.** **Sentiment Details:** The Federal Reserve Bank of the United States of America has one of the most powerful decisions to make on a regular basis. Cutting, or raising? Or waiting? And while each one of us can only guess and never know, it is the collection of our opinions that will propel this indicator to a constant search of truth and provide opportunity plenty. What will the FED do next? Cut? Or Hike? **Market Details:** **Market Period:** Infinite. **Resolution Criteria:** This market will not resolve. **Resolution Details:** No resolution can be triggered in this market. This market will not resolve based on any FED decision, it will continue to remain open as a constant indicator. **Cancelation (Invalidity) Conditions:** This market will be canceled/invalid if: - Myriad Markets undergoes a change of its contract that demands a cancelation of all active markets, or similar technical or business imperatives. - Myriad Markets decides it is time for this market to cease to exist. In the event of cancelation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancelation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Myriad ↗Data from Myriad’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictionHub is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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7 outcomes