Number of FOMC meetings with FED interest rate cuts in the US in 2026
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: 0 at about a 69% chance — likely.
Prediction-market odds are usually well-calibrated — historically, outcomes priced near 70% happen about 70% of the time — but the crowd can still be wrong, and the price can lag the news.
Summary
The market assigns a 69% probability to no rate cuts in 2026, indicating strong expectations of a steady or tightening monetary policy. Lower probabilities for multiple cuts suggest modest but fading chances of easing, with outcomes of one or two cuts collectively at 31%. The distribution reflects prevailing uncertainty around inflation and growth trajectories.
How it resolves
Resolved by Futuur per each question's rules. Futuur runs both play- and real-money sides — we show the real-money (crypto) price.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
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