US core inflation rate in June (year-over-year CPI)
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Between 2.9 and 3.3% at about a 44% chance — less likely than not.
Prediction-market odds are usually well-calibrated — historically, outcomes priced near 70% happen about 70% of the time — but the crowd can still be wrong, and the price can lag the news.
Summary
The market assigns the highest probability (44%) to US core inflation remaining between 2.9% and 3.3% year-over-year in June. Lower probabilities are given to inflation falling below 2.9% (24%) or rising above 3.3% (21%), indicating a slight skew toward the lower end but overall uncertainty. The odds suggest that traders see a moderate chance of inflation staying within the recent range, with less confidence in a significant deviation.
How it resolves
Resolved by Futuur per each question's rules. Futuur runs both play- and real-money sides — we show the real-money (crypto) price.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Futuur ↗Data from Futuur’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictionHub is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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