Which countries will win a game at the FIFA World Cup?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Mexíco at about a 100% chance — almost certain.
Prediction-market odds are usually well-calibrated — historically, outcomes priced near 70% happen about 70% of the time — but the crowd can still be wrong, and the price can lag the news.
How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
Resolves yes if the country wins any game at the fifa World Cup. Resolves no if they do not win any game. Update 2026-06-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A win on penalties counts as winning a game for resolution purposes, even if the match is considered a draw for international ranking purposes.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
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