Who will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Spain at about a 26% chance — unlikely.
Prediction-market odds are usually well-calibrated — historically, outcomes priced near 70% happen about 70% of the time — but the crowd can still be wrong, and the price can lag the news.
Summary
The prediction market for the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner shows a tight race, with Spain and France as the top contenders at 26% and 25% respectively. Portugal, England, Argentina, and Brazil are also in contention but with lower implied probabilities. The odds suggest a competitive tournament with no single dominant favorite.
How it resolves
Resolved by Futuur per each question's rules. Futuur runs both play- and real-money sides — we show the real-money (crypto) price.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Futuur ↗Data from Futuur’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictionHub is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.