Name something AI has gotten crazy good at in the last year. (Bilt Rent Free Jul 1, 2026)
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Video/image gen at about a 65% chance — likely.
Prediction-market odds are usually well-calibrated — historically, outcomes priced near 70% happen about 70% of the time — but the crowd can still be wrong, and the price can lag the news.
This market asks which AI capability has improved the most in the past year, with outcomes like 'coding' and 'video/image generation' currently seen as the top contenders at 74% and 68% odds. 'Nothing' at 40% suggests a notable chance that no major improvement is agreed upon, while 'lying' and 'automation' are considered less likely but still plausible. The odds reflect a consensus that AI's progress in coding and media creation is most recognized, but with significant uncertainty as the market resolves in 2026.
AI-generated from current market odds · informational only, not advice. Verify on the source platform.
How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
Bilt is a credit card company that has a monthly game show where they survey their users for their answers to various questions. Top scorers in the actual game get their next month's rent or mortgage payment covered by Bilt. The top 3 answers reported on the actual game (not this prediction market) will resolve YES 100%, regardless of their order. The rest resolve NO. The results post at 4pm ET, Jul 1, 2026. I was not one of the surveyed users this month. I do not know the correct answers, so I can trade on this market. This is my referral link if you wish to sign up / apply and play the game yourself: https://www.bilt.com/card?invite=QVCT7PCC Click here for a dashboard of other Jul 1, 2026 Bilt Rent Free markets. There will be no AI clarifications added to this market's description. [image]
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictionHub is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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