Who will be the next DNC Chair?

💡 What the odds say

Most likely: Faiz Shakir at about a 23% chance — unlikely.

Prediction-market odds are usually well-calibrated — historically, outcomes priced near 70% happen about 70% of the time — but the crowd can still be wrong, and the price can lag the news.

Summary

The market for the next DNC Chair shows Martin O’Malley leading at 21%, followed closely by Faiz Shakir at 18%, while four other candidates are tied at 5% each. This distribution suggests a competitive race with O’Malley as the current frontrunner but no clear dominant favorite. The wide gap between the top two and the rest indicates that the contest may narrow further as the selection process unfolds.