Los Angeles Daily Temperature High — contract UHLAX_062826_73
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 4% chance — almost no chance.
Prediction-market odds are usually well-calibrated — historically, outcomes priced near 70% happen about 70% of the time — but the crowd can still be wrong, and the price can lag the news.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 4% right now.
This market asks whether the daily high temperature in Los Angeles will reach at least 73°F on the specific date June 28, 2026. Current odds strongly suggest it will not, with a 96% probability assigned to 'No'.
The case for YES
- • Los Angeles often experiences warm weather in late June, with average highs frequently exceeding 73°F.
- • Climate trends suggest a gradual warming, which could increase the chance of reaching the threshold.
- • Some weather models might indicate a high-pressure system that pushes temperatures above normal.
The case for NO
- • Historical data for that date shows highs at or above 73°F occur only about 20% of the time, making it uncommon.
- • The marine layer and coastal influence often keep LA's temperatures moderate, especially in June.
- • Current long-range forecasts and market odds (96% No) reflect strong expectations of a cooler outcome.
AI-generated from current market odds · informational only, not advice. Verify on the source platform.
How it resolves
Settled by ForecastEx, a CFTC-regulated US exchange (via Interactive Brokers), against the official source named in each contract.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on ForecastEx ↗Data from ForecastEx’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictionHub is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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