Los Angeles Daily Temperature High — contract UHLAX_062726_72
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 2% chance — almost no chance.
Prediction-market odds are usually well-calibrated — historically, outcomes priced near 70% happen about 70% of the time — but the crowd can still be wrong, and the price can lag the news.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 2% right now.
This market predicts whether the daily high temperature in Los Angeles will be exactly 72°F on June 27, 2026. Current odds show a 2% chance for YES and 98% for NO, indicating strong market expectation against this precise temperature. Traders are betting that the actual high will likely differ from 72°F.
The case for YES
- • June 27 often has mild weather in LA, making 72°F a possible outcome.
- • NO odds may be inflated, offering a cheap entry if weather models show unusual conditions.
- • A small chance of 72°F exists historically, so the market could be underestimating it.
The case for NO
- • The probability of any exact temperature like 72°F is typically very low due to natural variation.
- • Historical data for LA in late June shows typical highs ranging from 70-85°F, making 72°F less likely than a range.
- • Market odds heavily favor NO, reflecting collective trader opinion that this exact match is unlikely.
AI-generated from current market odds · informational only, not advice. Verify on the source platform.
How it resolves
Settled by ForecastEx, a CFTC-regulated US exchange (via Interactive Brokers), against the official source named in each contract.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on ForecastEx ↗Data from ForecastEx’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictionHub is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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