Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

💡 What the odds say

The market puts this at about a 6% chance — very unlikely.

Prediction-market odds are usually well-calibrated — historically, outcomes priced near 70% happen about 70% of the time — but the crowd can still be wrong, and the price can lag the news.

No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 6% right now.

Summary

This prediction market asks whether the US government will definitively confirm extraterrestrial life or technology by September 30, 2026. Current odds heavily favor 'No' at 94%, reflecting skepticism that any authorized official or agency will make such a statement within the timeframe.