SOL vs Silver: Which hits $150 first?
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 46% chance — a coin toss.
Prediction-market odds are usually well-calibrated — historically, outcomes priced near 70% happen about 70% of the time — but the crowd can still be wrong, and the price can lag the news.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 46% right now.
How it resolves
Resolved on-chain per the rules written into each market (stablecoin-settled). On-chain settlement is transparent but, like any market, only as good as the rules it was written with.
Resolution criteria
# Rules / Description ### **Market Details:** - **Market Close:** This market will only be closed once a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined as soon as an outcome is reached. - **Market Target:** $150.00 ### **Resolution Criteria:** The market resolves based on which asset first reaches or exceeds the Market Target: - **“SOL”** if Solana (SOL/USDT) price on Binance hits or exceeds the Market Target. - **“SILVER”** if Silver (XAG/USD) price on TradingView hits or exceeds the Market Target. ### **Resolution Details:** - SOL price will be tracked using **Binance’s SOL/USDT spot chart:** <https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT?type=spot> - SILVER price will be tracked using **TradingView’s XAG/USD chart (Source: OANDA):** <https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=OANDA%3AXAGUSD> - The **1-minute candle close price** (“C”) will be used to confirm when a target is hit **Tie-breaker rules:** - If both assets reach or exceed $150 **within the same 1-minute candle**, the first to hit the mark will be determined using finer candle data (e.g. tick data) from their respective platforms. - Price spikes or brief wick touches that do not close above $150 will **not** count as a hit — only candle **close** values are valid. ### **Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions:** - Either Binance or TradingView becomes unavailable, unreliable, or experiences major disruptions. - Price data for either SOL or SILVER cannot be verified during the Market Period. - Any significant technical issue prevents proper tracking or confirmation of the target hit. In case of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the current market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss depending on the price of their outstanding shares.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
Data from Myriad’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictionHub is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.