Which bubble bursts first?

### **Market Details:** - **Market Period:** From the market publication until its resolution. - **Market Close:** This market will only be closed once a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined as soon as an outcome is reached. ### **Resolution Criteria:** - The market aims to track who experiences an industry downturn first: AI or Crypto. - The Market resolves to “**AI**” if at least 3 of the following events have occurred within 90 days of each other, first: - NVIDIA Corporation ([NVDA](https://www.investing.com/equities/nvidia-corp)) is 50% below its ATH — from $212.19 to $106.09 - iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF ([SOXX](https://www.nasdaq.com/de/market-activity/etf/soxx/historical)) is 40% below its ATH — from $363.8 to $218.28 - Oracle Corporation ([ORCL](https://www.nasdaq.com/de/market-activity/stocks/orcl/historical)) is 60% below its ATH — from $345.72 to $138.29 - H100 rental price falls to $1.00 or lower for five consecutive days. - OpenAI, Inc. declares bankruptcy. - Anthropic PBC declares bankruptcy. - The Market resolves to “**Crypto**” if at least 3 of the following events have occurred within 90 days of each other, first: - [BTC](https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT?type=spot) falls 60% below its ATH — from $126,199.63 to $50,479.85 - [ETH](https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT?type=spot) falls 70% below its ATH — from $4,956.78 to $1,487.00 - [SOL](https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT?type=spot) falls 70% below its ATH — from $295.83 to $88.75 - Market Target hit on 05.02.2026 ✅ - [BNB](https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT?type=spot) falls 70% below its ATH — from $1,375.11 to $412.53 - Microstrategy sells any amount of Bitcoin. - Market Target hit on 31.05.2026 ✅ - Microstrategy publically declares bankruptcy. - [USDT](https://www.binance.com/en/trade/USDT_USD?type=spot) depegs to 0.9000 or lower. ### **Resolution Sources:** - To confirm stock market targe