Up or Down?
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 46% chance — a coin toss.
Prediction-market odds are usually well-calibrated — historically, outcomes priced near 70% happen about 70% of the time — but the crowd can still be wrong, and the price can lag the news.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 46% right now.
How it resolves
Resolved on-chain per the rules written into each market (stablecoin-settled). On-chain settlement is transparent but, like any market, only as good as the rules it was written with.
Resolution criteria
**There are zero trading fees charged for this market.** **This market is a social sentiment experiment, is trading only, and will never be resolved towards either option.** Winning or losing? To be or not to be? *Up or Down?* Questions that have been asked since the dawn of time, maybe even before. But is it more than a societal belief that pits us against each other? To begin grasping a potential path to an answer, we must first acknowledge that there isn’t one. Like a caveman transported to Woodstock ‘69, we must attempt to understand the crowd that we are simultaneously part of and apart from—a crowd that behaves unpredictably based on predictable events and continues to surprise us while seemingly never changing. Only then—once humbled, emboldened, and full of wonder—we can ask ourselves and the atoms around us the ever-ringing question, the itch at the back of our brains, the perpetrator of too many sleepless nights: **Up or Down?** **Market Period:** Infinite. Do not give heed to any calendar dates, as they are but a mere distraction **Resolution Criteria:** - This market will not resolve **Resolution Details:** - No resolution can be triggered in this market **Cancelation (Invalidity) Conditions:** This market will be canceled/invalid if: - Myriad Markets undergoes a change of its contract that demands the cancelation of all active markets, or similar technical or business imperatives - Myriad Markets decides it is time for this market to cease to exist *In the event of cancelation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancelation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.*
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
Data from Myriad’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictionHub is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.