New BTC ATH before July?
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 3% chance — almost no chance.
Prediction-market odds are usually well-calibrated — historically, outcomes priced near 70% happen about 70% of the time — but the crowd can still be wrong, and the price can lag the news.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 3% right now.
How it resolves
Resolved on-chain per the rules written into each market (stablecoin-settled). On-chain settlement is transparent but, like any market, only as good as the rules it was written with.
Resolution criteria
**Market Dates:** - **Market Period:** From publication date until June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Market Close**: June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Resolution Time**: Resolution will be determined on June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC, or earlier if an outcome is reached. - **Market Target:** $126,199.63 (BTC/USDT all-time high on Binance). **Yes/No Criteria:** - Resolves to **"Yes"** if the **BTC/USDT** price on Binance reaches above the Market Target at any point before or at the Resolution Time. - Resolves to **"No"** if not. **Resolution Details:** The **Binance BTC/USDT spot price** will be used and monitored throughout the market until its resolution time: - **1-minute timeframe ("1m")** - **"Trading View"** - **Any 1-minute candle (Close Price)** Only the price of BTC/USDT as quoted by Binance (spot market) will be considered. **Cancellation Conditions:** - The Binance page (or an equivalent source) is not available for significant periods during the market duration. - The BTC/USDT spot market is not available on Binance for extended periods during the market duration. - Any other circumstance renders resolution impossible or unreliable based on the designated resolution source *If the market is cancelled, participants can claim their stakes at the then-current market value of their shares, which could result in a profit or a loss depending on the price of those shares at cancellation.*
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Myriad ↗Data from Myriad’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictionHub is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.