World Cup 2026: Who will perform better?
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 41% chance — less likely than not.
Prediction-market odds are usually well-calibrated — historically, outcomes priced near 70% happen about 70% of the time — but the crowd can still be wrong, and the price can lag the news.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 41% right now.
How it resolves
Resolved on-chain per the rules written into each market (stablecoin-settled). On-chain settlement is transparent but, like any market, only as good as the rules it was written with.
Resolution criteria
## **Market Dates:** - **Market Period:** From the publication date until July 19, 2026 at 11:00 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** July 19, 2026 at 11:00 PM UTC, 4 hours after the Grand Final is scheduled to start. - **Resolution Deadline:** After the Tournament is officially concluded or earlier if an outcome is reached. ## **Resolution Criteria:** The market resolves based on **who achieves the better performance in the 2026 World Cup Tournament**. - “Better performance” means advancing **further in the tournament** (Group Stage → Round of 32 → Round of 16 → Quarterfinals → Semifinals → 3rd Place Match → Grand Final), using the official World Cup 2026 results. **Tie-Breaker Rule (applied only if both are eliminated in the same round):** The team with the better goal **differential** during the tournament is considered to have performed better. ## **Resolution Details:** - The final result will be determined using the official results published on FIFA. ## **Cancellation Conditions:** - The World Cup 2026 tournament event is cancelled before resolution. - Official results are not available or the resolution source becomes unavailable/unreliable. - Both teams are eliminated in the same round and remain tied after applying the tie-breaker. If cancelled, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at cancellation time, which could result in either profit or loss based on the share price.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Myriad ↗Data from Myriad’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictionHub is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.