Will somebody managram me at least 1500 mana before market close?
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 77% chance — likely.
Prediction-market odds are usually well-calibrated — historically, outcomes priced near 70% happen about 70% of the time — but the crowd can still be wrong, and the price can lag the news.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 77% right now.
Summary
This market asks whether a specific user will receive at least 1500 Mana (the platform's currency) from others before the market closes. Current odds heavily favor Yes at 78%, suggesting strong belief in fulfillment, but No retains a minority view. The outcome depends on community generosity and the user's ability to attract donations.
How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictionHub is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.