25 June FIFA World Cup Prop Bets!
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Any Outsider wins? Ecuador, Curacao, sweden,tunisia, Turkey, Australia at about a 100% chance — almost certain.
Prediction-market odds are usually well-calibrated — historically, outcomes priced near 70% happen about 70% of the time — but the crowd can still be wrong, and the price can lag the news.
How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
Ecuador v Germany$ Curacao v Ivory Coast$ Japan$ v Sweden Tunisia v Netherlands$ Turkey v USA$ Paraguay$ v Australia Resolves according to fifa results as displayed on Google. If match postponed, resolves to when it is run. N/a if not run again.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictionHub is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.