Which teams will make it to the knockout stage at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Mexico at about a 100% chance — almost certain.
Prediction-market odds are usually well-calibrated — historically, outcomes priced near 70% happen about 70% of the time — but the crowd can still be wrong, and the price can lag the news.
How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
32 teams will make it into the knockout stage of the 2026 FIFA World cup, and so 32 answers will resolve YES and all others will resolve NO. Countries that fail to qualify for the World Cup will resolve NO. Counties that get knocked out in the group stages will resolve NO. Countries that make it to the Round of 32 in the Knockout Stage will resolve YES. The group stage begins June 11th and goes until June 27th.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictionHub is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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