Will Anthropic restore access to Fable 5 to all customers by the end of June?

💡 What the odds say

The market puts this at about a 37% chance — less likely than not.

Prediction-market odds are usually well-calibrated — historically, outcomes priced near 70% happen about 70% of the time — but the crowd can still be wrong, and the price can lag the news.

No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 37% right now.

Summary

The prediction market currently indicates a 62% chance that Anthropic will not restore Fable 5 access to all customers by the end of June, reflecting skepticism about timely resolution. The remaining 38% suggests some optimism, though uncertainty remains high. No official commitment has been made, leaving the outcome dependent on Anthropic's progress and priorities.