How many games will be a draw on June 25 at the FIFA World Cup?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: 1 or more at about a 78% chance — likely.
Prediction-market odds are usually well-calibrated — historically, outcomes priced near 70% happen about 70% of the time — but the crowd can still be wrong, and the price can lag the news.
Summary
The market shows high confidence (78%) that at least one draw will occur among the six games on June 25, but lower probabilities for multiple draws, with only 41% for two or more. The steep drop from 78% to 12% for three or more draws suggests the market views a single draw as the most likely outcome, while the near-zero odds for five or six draws reflect extreme skepticism.
How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
Resolves yes to the amount of draws at the following games on 25 June at the fifa World Cup. Ecuador v Germany$ Curacao v Ivory Coast$ Japan$ v Sweden Tunisia v Netherlands$ Turkey v USA$ Paraguay$ v Australia N/a if game is not rescheduled or finished or played
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
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