🇳🇴NOR vs 🇫🇷FRA [World Cup '26]
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: 🇫🇷 France at about a 62% chance — more likely than not.
Prediction-market odds are usually well-calibrated — historically, outcomes priced near 70% happen about 70% of the time — but the crowd can still be wrong, and the price can lag the news.
How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
Norway vs France · Group I · Kickoff Fri, 26 Jun 2026 19:00:00 UTC Resolves to the winning team or draw (90 min regulation) This market resolves automatically after the match concludes based on official results. Visit the FIFA World Cup 2026 Dashboard Created and managed by @ManifoldSports
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictionHub is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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