What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?

💡 What the odds say

Most likely: Venezuela at about a 4% chance — almost no chance.

Prediction-market odds are usually well-calibrated — historically, outcomes priced near 70% happen about 70% of the time — but the crowd can still be wrong, and the price can lag the news.

Summary

This prediction market asks which territory could become the 51st U.S. state during a potential Trump term, with current odds showing Venezuela, Cuba, and Canada each at 3%, Greenland at 2%, and Puerto Rico and Guam at 1%. The low probabilities across all options suggest traders see annexation or statehood for any of these as highly unlikely, though the dispersion indicates no clear consensus on a single frontrunner.