Sovereignty Transfer of Greenland — contract STFGL_123128_0
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 30% chance — unlikely.
Prediction-market odds are usually well-calibrated — historically, outcomes priced near 70% happen about 70% of the time — but the crowd can still be wrong, and the price can lag the news.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 30% right now.
Summary
This contract predicts whether STFGL will occur by a specified date. Current odds show a 30% chance of Yes and 70% chance of No, reflecting market skepticism. The outcome depends on evolving conditions and expert assessments.
How it resolves
Settled by ForecastEx, a CFTC-regulated US exchange (via Interactive Brokers), against the official source named in each contract.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on ForecastEx ↗Data from ForecastEx’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictionHub is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.